Showing posts with label Jennings. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jennings. Show all posts

Friday, October 3, 2008

Independent Poll Confirms 16-Point Lead for Buchanan

Independent Poll Confirms 16-Point Lead for Buchanan
WFLA-TV Survey Shows Buchanan crushing Jennings among Independents, 43-25

A new independent survey commissioned this week by WFLA-TV in Tampa shows U.S. Rep. Vern Buchanan beating Democrat Christine Jennings by 16-points. The independent survey shows Buchanan leads Jennings 49% to 33%, confirming previous polls that have shown Buchanan with a large double-digit lead over Jennings.
The Survey USA poll is available here.

Thursday, October 2, 2008

Buchanan enjoying substantial advantage

A new Public Opinion Strategies Poll shows CD-13 Democrat challenger Christine Jennings with a favorable rating in the twentieth percentile. Meanwhile, Jenning’s unfounded attempts to smear Buchanan’s record have had little impact – Buchanan holds a 46 percent favorable rating, and leads Jennings by double digits overall.

The Real World Florida

The Republican Party of Florida today announced that two new cast-mates have made the Real World, Florida cut: Democrat Congressional candidates Suzanne Kosmas and Christine Jennings. Jennings’ and Kosmas’ Real World websites can be viewed here and here.

Monday, September 29, 2008

Roll Call Weighs in on Jennings Poll

Jennings’ Poll in Florida’s 13th District Neglects Reality (Excerpts)

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Roll Call Contributing Writer

A new poll released by Florida Democrat Christine Jennings is a great example of why it’s important to not accept polling numbers and memos at face value.
...
On Friday, the Jennings campaign released a poll showing her down by just 4 points in her 2008 rematch with Buchanan. According to the Sept. 22-23 Feldman Group poll, the GOP Congressman held a narrow 44 percent to 40 percent advantage in the head-to-head matchup, with 16 percent undecided.

The problem is that there are four candidates on the November ballot, not two, including 2002 and 2004 13th district Democratic nominee Jan Schneider, who is running as an Independent. The one-page polling memo makes no mention of Schneider or any third-party candidates, but asserts, “This contest has become too close to call with atmospherics that favor Jennings.”

Buchanan is vulnerable, but this polling memo and two-way ballot ignore the reality of the electoral situation and is a misleading attempt by the campaign to generate buzz around the race.

Schneider is not a fringe candidate. In 2002, she ran unsuccessfully against Katherine Harris (R), losing 55 percent to 45 percent, despite being heavily outspent.

Two years later, Schneider defeated Jennings, 47 percent to 38 percent, in the multicandidate Democratic primary and lost to Harris again, 55 percent to 45 percent, in the general election. In that race, Schneider was named one of the “Kos Dozen,” a list of candidates promoted by DailyKos.com, a liberal Web site.

Last cycle, Jennings defeated Schneider 62 percent to 38 percent for the Democratic nomination but lost the general election to Buchanan. Schneider was angry at the Democratic Party for backing Jennings in 2004 (and since), even though she came so close to upsetting Harris in 2002 without any party help. That’s largely why Schneider continues to run in the district.
...
When asked about Schneider’s performance in the Feldman poll, Jennings Communications Director Melissa Smith responded, “We are releasing the information in the memo. We believe the voters of the 13th district want to replace Vern Buchanan, and that they will vote for Christine Jennings.” The omitted information screamed louder than the numbers themselves.

An Aug. 23-24 Public Opinion Strategies poll for the National Republican Congressional Committee showed Buchanan leading Jennings 48 percent to 30 percent, with Schneider drawing 6 percent of the vote.

Even though Jennings came close last cycle, she will need every Democratic vote possible in a district President Bush carried by 13 points in 2004.
...
In refusing to release a true ballot test reflective of the November ballot, Jennings leads observers to the obvious conclusion that she is hiding something — and to the view that Schneider’s candidacy is fatal to Jennings’ electoral chances.

Jennings’ Poll in Florida’s 13th District Neglects Reality

From Roll Call:

A new poll released by Florida Democrat Christine Jennings is a great example of why it’s important to not accept polling numbers and memos at face value.

Two years ago, Jennings lost the 13th district open-seat race by the slimmest of margins, 50.1 percent to 49.9 percent, to Republican Vern Buchanan. Jennings contested the results for months, claiming that voting machines in Sarasota County malfunctioned, resulting in a large number of undervotes and costing her the election.

The courts and, ultimately, the House, rejected those claims.
On Friday, the Jennings campaign released a poll showing her down by just 4 points in her 2008 rematch with Buchanan. According to the Sept. 22-23 Feldman Group poll, the GOP Congressman held a narrow 44 percent to 40 percent advantage in the head-to-head matchup, with 16 percent undecided.

The problem is that there are four candidates on the November ballot, not two, including 2002 and 2004 13th district Democratic nominee Jan Schneider, who is running as an Independent. The one-page polling memo makes no mention of Schneider or any third-party candidates, but asserts, “This contest has become too close to call with atmospherics that favor Jennings.”

Buchanan is vulnerable, but this polling memo and two-way ballot ignore the reality of the electoral situation and is a misleading attempt by the campaign to generate buzz around the race.

Daily Kos Survey Contradicts Jennings Push Poll

New Democrat Poll Shows Buchanan with Double-Digit Lead,
Jennings at Shockingly Low 31%, without Jan Schneider in the Poll

A fresh poll released today by the liberal Daily Kos gives Rep. Vern Buchanan a 12-point lead over challenger Christine Jennings, disputing Jennings’ own bogus poll results and showing the Democrat trailing badly among key groups like independents and seniors. The poll showed Buchanan winning 43-31 percent.

The survey was conducted Sept. 23, 24 and 25 by Research 2000 of Rockville, MD, according to the Daily Kos website. Daily Kos runs a national left-wing website dedicated to electing Democrat candidates, but the poll the site released Sunday contradicted Jennings' bogus survey that she released to the press claiming she only trailed by four points. Neither the Jennings’ poll nor the Daily Kos poll included Jan Schneider, a former Democrat who will be on the ballot in November as an unaffiliated candidate.

The Daily Kos poll said Jennings was viewed unfavorably by voters in the 13th District by a margin of 38-32 percent. Additionally, the Daily Kos survey said Buchanan was winning the age 60 and over vote by a whopping 18 points, 46 to 28 percent. Seniors are considered the most reliable voters in an election. Additionally, the poll showed Buchanan was winning the independent vote 40-30 percent.

Obviously Jennings conducted a phony push poll designed to produce a false result. Even the liberal Daily Kos disputes Jennings numbers.

You Know You're in Trouble When...

Daily Kos Survey Contradicts Jennings Push Poll
New Democrat Poll Shows Buchanan with Double-Digit Lead, Jennings at Shockingly Low 31%, without Jan Schneider in the Poll

Tallahassee–A fresh poll released today by the liberal Daily Kos gives Rep. Vern Buchanan a 12-point lead over challenger Christine Jennings, disputing Jennings’ own bogus poll results and showing the Democrat trailing badly among key groups like independents and seniors. The poll showed Buchanan winning 43-31 percent.

The survey was conducted Sept. 23, 24 and 25 by Research 2000 of Rockville, MD, according to the Daily Kos website. Daily Kos runs a national left-wing website dedicated to electing Democrat candidates, but the poll the site released Sunday contradicted Jennings' bogus survey that she released to the press claiming she only trailed by four points. Neither the Jennings’ poll nor the Daily Kos poll included Jan Schneider, a former Democrat who will be on the ballot in November as an unaffiliated candidate.

The Daily Kos poll said Jennings was viewed unfavorably by voters in the 13th District by a margin of 38-32 percent. Additionally, the Daily Kos survey said Buchanan was winning the age 60 and over vote by a whopping 18 points, 46 to 28 percent. Seniors are considered the most reliable voters in an election. Additionally, the poll showed Buchanan was winning the independent vote 40-30 percent.

"Obviously Jennings conducted a phony push poll designed to produce a false result," said RPOF Communications Director Erin VanSickle. “Even the liberal Daily Kos disputes Jennings numbers."

Tuesday, August 26, 2008

What Chris Van Hollen Doesn’t Want You to Know

As mayor of Hialeah, Raul Martinez was indicted on eight counts of racketeering and seven counts of extortion.

When it was revealed that Jennings did not pay her taxes, instead of stepping up and accepting responsibility like a real leader, she forced a staff member to take the heat. If Jennings can’t even run her own campaign without embarrassing mistakes, how can she manage a Congressional office? (“Jennings pays IRS, could pay again in election,” Jeremy Wallace, Herald Tribune)

Joe Garcia has campaigned with and accepted money from corrupt Manhattan Congressman Charlie Rangel, who was recently caught in two separate scandals: a sweetheart deal for his four rent-controlled New York City apartments and using his position in Congress to raise money for a building bearing his own name. (Miami Herald, 4/9/08; FEC)